Last time we had a look at what the teams in Groups A-C of the Women's World Cup need to do to ensure qualification. Groups A and B will play their final games tonight, but our attention now shifts to the remaining three groups.
by Adrian Worton
Last time we had a look at what the teams in Groups A-C of the Women's World Cup need to do to ensure qualification. Groups A and B will play their final games tonight, but our attention now shifts to the remaining three groups.
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by Adrian Worton
The Women's World Cup started in Canada a week ago, and we have seen some great football so far. With the second round of group fixtures underway, we will look ahead to the final round of games, and look to see what each team needs to do in order to qualify. Today, we look at Groups A, B and C. Below are the current standings for each group (listed as: team; goal difference; points): by Adrian Worton
Tomorrow is the highlight in the UK betting calendar, the Grand National. For many people this is the sole time in the year they will place a bet on anything, with little research into form. Indeed, the pinsticker method is a common idea. Do bookmakers, therefore, take advantage of the fact that so many notice betters take a punt on the Grand National? We can find out by comparing the odds for tomorrow’s race to other betting markets. by Adrian Worton
The 2015 Cricket World Cup is now into the knockout stages, with all eight quarter-finalists being full member nations. If you are interested in the probability of each team winning the tournament, we have been tracking the odds for each nation, and you can view these here. by Adrian Worton
Conflict at TGIAF Towers - the 2015 Cricket World Cup starts today in New Zealand & Australia, and it would be remiss not to mark it with some kind of mention. On the other hand, having spent all week writing for my work, I would actually rather high-five a passing train than do tons more work for this. So, enjoyably for everyone, this is going to be a nice short article. We're going to convert the bookies odds for winning the World Cup into probabilities. However, to mix it up, it will be updated each day of the tournament, so we'll be able to show how teams' chances of winning has changed during the tournament. by Adrian Worton
In our attempts to model the Premier League, we first produced one simulator, which we analysed in order to understand why it produced highly variable results. We have now created a second simulator, and now we will look to see how it has performed. by Adrian Worton
Previously, we unveiled the first TGIAF Premiership Simulator, which used odds from bookmakers to generate a season's worth of results. However, we found that our simulator threw up a number of unrealistic outcomes, which could partly be down to unrealistically few victories for favourites. by Adrian Worton
Last time we unveiled the TGIAF Premier League simulator. Whilst it is a sturdy model which uses form to dictate odds for matches, and therefore the probability of each team winning, it has thrown up results which seem to volatile, with smaller clubs like Crystal Palace, Sunderland and Stoke City often fighting for the title, and with large clubs such as Man United, Chelsea and Spurs just avoiding relegation. As we want our model to be as realistic as possible, to allow us to do more interesting analysis with it, we now need to consider what has gone wrong with it, and how we can improve it. by Adrian Worton
We have been slowly building a Premier League simulator. To do this we first needed to work out a relationship between two team's form and their chances of beating each other, before moving our focus to the Championship and calculating how much weaker than the Premiership it is. All this was enabled by our comprehensive database giving us results and odds for all Premier League games from the 2004/05 season to the 2013/14 season. by Adrian Worton
The magnificent 2014 Commonwealth Games in Glasgow is proving to be very successful for the Home Nations, with Scotland breaking its medal record (both in terms of golds, and total medals) and England looking like they might top the medal table for the first time since 1986 (the last Games to be held in Scotland). What we want to know is whether success in a Commonwealth Games predicts success in the Olympic Games two years later. To do this we will need to work out how to standardise results in the two competitions. |
Author: Adrian
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