Yesterday we introduced the simulator for the Six Nations, and analysed by running multiple simulations. We can now compare the results of those simulations, which are the summation of short-term odds with the long-term odds of various events.
by Adrian Worton
Yesterday we introduced the simulator for the Six Nations, and analysed by running multiple simulations. We can now compare the results of those simulations, which are the summation of short-term odds with the long-term odds of various events.
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by Adrian Worton
At TGIAF we have created quite a few Simulators, with varying success. Generally, those that have been successful are those where odds for the whole contest is available; such as with the General Election and the Oscars. Our World Cup simulator was built on odds for the entire group stage (75% of matches) whilst our least successful effort, the Premier League simulator, used past results to generate probabilities for the upcoming season, therefore using no current odds. |
Author: Adrian
Doctor of Mathematics and former football analyst. Categories
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