The Game Is A Foot
Created 11th January, 2012
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TGIAF General Election predictions

22/12/2014

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Picture
by Adrian Worton

Introduction

In our last article we introduced the TGIAF General Election 2015 simulator, an interactive version of which is available here.

Today we will look at the results from 1000 simulations of our model, an approach we took with our World Cup simulator. By doing so many simulations, the results will be very close to the "true" probabilities within our model, and we can therefore make reasonably confident predictions.

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Modelling the General Election

17/12/2014

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Picture
by Adrian Worton

Introduction

Over the course of the summer, we introduced mathematical modelling to our analysis of sports. In particular, our World Cup simulator was based around bookies' odds, and running this simulator a thousand times gave us very strong ideas of the "true" probabilities of various outcomes.

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    Author: Adrian

    Doctor of Mathematics and former football analyst.

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