General Election 2024 Live

Select your constituency and view our model's estimations of each party's chances of winning.

You can also use the Exit Poll tool to fill in an exit poll to see who our model would predict would win the seat in that scenario.

Once the exit poll is published, the prediction tool will be fixed to the values of the poll.

Note: if the exit poll prediction says 'Unclear' there are two possible reasons:

1. The seat is in Northern Ireland, which isn't covered by the exit poll
   
2. The strongest parties in this seat have all done badly, meaning there is no clear front-runner